Has Adam Wainwright done enough to deserve a place in the Hall of Fame? If this is the end, Wainwright is leaving behind a solid career. Arizona Diamondbacks. Well have to wait and see. His 133 OPS+ is a step down from his 201218 prime (146), but his .493 SLG is his best since leaving Arizona. Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). Assuming he pitches in 2022, a year in which I am assuming Major League Baseball will indeed be played, which he has already announced will be his last, Wainwrights first round of Hall of Fame votes would not even be revealed until 2028. While Pujols and Molina are guaranteed to enter the Hall of Fame, Wainwright's case is a tricky one to say the least. Guerrero had an RBI single during the first inning in his lone at-bat. Pitching to a 3.66 ERA and 4.45 FIP, hes produced a respectable 2.2 WAR, though hes still 0.6 points below the JAWS standard. How Corbin Burnes became an ace by making his bed, Top moments from Brady, Manning, Jordan and other athletes hosting 'Saturday Night Live', Fantasy baseball rankings, projections, strategy and cheat sheets, Spring batting averages, runs up amid shift limits. After posting a 3.84 expected ERA in 2022, that metric jumped to 4.53 last season. Even if he retired now, Verlander has likely done enough to ensure a plaque in Cooperstown. It is possible that the same will be the case for a third Cardinals legend. St. Louis Cardinals analyst Brad Thompson joins Blair and Barker to talk about whether Adam Wainwright deserves a nod into the Baseball Hall of Fame, stating you can make the case for the veteran pitcher although hes not a sure-fire candidate yet. For this dispatch, Ill first turn my attention to the pitchers, then backtrack to cover a handful of others position players and pitchers in a more lightning-round fashion. It airs Monday through Thursday from 3-6 p.m. and Friday from 4-6 p.m. You can listen by streaming online or by downloading the show podcast at 590thefan.com or the 590 app. Of course, Wainwright and the Cardinals gave it the nothing to see here treatment. Yadier Molina, though certainly less overwhelming of a candidate than Pujols, is probably going to make it inparticularly with the modern embrace of pitch framing, Molinas defensive reputation has only improved, and his high longevity and peak scores by FanGraphs Wins Above Replacement (which, unlike Baseball Reference, incorporates framing), are well within the normal catcher standards for Cooperstown, even if the rank-and-file voter bestows his candidacy with fewer goat emojis and general fawning than St. Louis does. Please logout and login again. But even if we throw 2020 out, Flaherty averaged only 57 innings of work over the last two years. Outside of Clayton Kershaw, he may be the most dominant pitcher in the game right now; FanGraphs credits Scherzer with more WAR than any non-Kershaw pitcher (25.9) since 2013. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location,
SUMMARY 2022 Career WAR 1.8 46.7 W 11 195 L 12 117 ERA 3.71 3.38 G 32 457 GS But lets see: frequently injured pitcher, already off schedule in spring training, not quite prepared for a full-on pitching test. Though hes overcome health scares and worked hard to expand his arsenal to become less reliant upon his cutter, Jansen has continued to take Dodgers fans on a rollercoaster this season. At least not for starting pitchers. But its just not going to happen anymore the way pitchers are used now and the way free agency is and (how) careers go. Wainos going to do that whether hes here or not, and thats a trust thing that Im not concerned with.. Queried about his Cooperstown credentials during the Cardinals visit to Citi Field last month, Wainwright grinned while seemingly acknowledging his counting numbers he has 184 wins and 2,004 strikeouts are not going to measure up to most of the starting pitchers enshrined in Cooperstown. With eight All-Star selections, three Cy Young awards, and a World Series ring, Kershaw is probably a lock for election already, but reaching and surpassing some major career milestones would further elevate him in the pantheon. 9 mo. Adam Wainwright was born on the 30th of August, 1981. When he calls it a career, Wainwright won't be a serious contender for baseball's Hall of Fame, unlike Molina. Albert Pujols is, barring something unforseen, going to easily sail into the National Baseball Hall of FameI always feel the need to add a caveat since uncodified steroid accusations have already kept one of the few modern hitters unreservedly superior to Pujols out of the Hall of Fame, though seeing David Ortiz make it does give me hope that Albert Pujols being a nice guy that everyone in baseball media seems to like would provide sufficient cushion to whatever random conjecture somebody wants to throw out into the discourse. The Cardinals trailed 5-0 on a pair of home runs by Tyrone Taylor, but St. Louis rallied to win its 12th straight, 8-5. The key number regarding Gooden is 48.0, which is the average of his career bWAR, his bWAR7, his career fWAR, and his fWAR7. He's a hell of a pitcher and even better human being. How many times have we heard a version of this spin when a St. Louis pitcher has some discomfort or just needs a little time to build himself up in spring training? However, not all stories have happy endings. Your email address will not be published. Gerrit Cole (117 wins at age 31) and Chris Sale (114 wins at age 32) are the likeliest active pitchers to approach Wainwrights total. 177-110, 3.51 ERA, 2,272 strikeouts, 122 adjusted ERA. Rolen, a member of the Cardinals Hall of Fame, was welcomed to the 'family' of Hall of Famers during an event and press conference Feb. 28, 2023 in Cooperstown, N.Y. It's not the be-all end-all but his baseball reference kind of shows that he really shouldn't make it. It's a career that includes 10 All-Star Games, nine Gold Gloves, four Platinum Gloves, two World Series titles and plenty of adulation from the St. Louis area and beyond. 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He went 17-7 with 174 strikeouts and a 3.05 ERA in 32 starts spanning 206 1/3 innings the third-highest total in the majors. by Handedness, Seven Pitchers (and Some More Position Players) Who Have Most Helped Their Hall of Fame Cases in 2021. But Wainwright still had good value because he supplied 192 innings. The 40-year . The just-turned-40-year-old is currently in the midst of a late-career renaissance (2.97 ERA, 3.1 WAR), leaving many to wonder what might have been if not for the injuries that effectively cost him three seasons from ages 29 to 36. Hes pitched for five teams in two different leagues, which is unusual for a pitcher with such a successful resume. A similarly impressive 2022 and perhaps 2023, though upon signing a one-year extension with the Cardinals last week, Wainwright strongly hinted he would retire alongside longtime batterymate Yadier Molina following next season added to his 2017-14 peak would nudge him ever closer to a Cooperstown-worthy body of work and at the least underline the kind of company hes already keeping. But he didnt become a full-time starter until his age-24 season, and hes now pitched for a quarter of the American League teams. Moving to Adam Wainwright, the 40-year-old moved into second in pitching WAR (again, as calculated by Baseball Reference) last season, and that is where he will stay. Likewise, his 42.4 bWAR is lower than the likes of Javier Vazquez, Al Leiter, and Frank Viola. Halladay and Martinez combined to win five Cy Youngs had more dominant peaks than Wainwright, but their status as first-ballot Hall of Famers serve as evidence the electorate is already modifying its standards for Hall-worthy starting pitchers. For this exercise, Im focused mainly on mid- or late-career players rather than early-career ones. Prices highlights include a 2012 Cy Young award, two ERA titles, and five 200-strikeout seasons. He entered Thursday 16-7 on. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports. I found Next, select your favourite teams and leagues and well show you their latest news and scores in the My Favourites section of the home page. But until we see Jack pitching in games against opposing hitters in game conditions down there in Florida and recovering on time to do it again, and again, and again Ill have to take the wait-and-see approach. And I finally reached the point where I just ignored the spin and started to interpret the lack of candor as a possible warning sign. He went from having a 3.8 WAR in 2021 to 2.8 WAR last year. The wins, strikeouts, ERA and innings were his best since 2014, which appeared to be the last full year of his peak. Are there baseball seasons good enough to get Adam Wainwright past Dwight Gooden? He has a $217 million contract with the Boston Red Sox, and to make the Hall of Fame, he may need another Cy Young award and a dominant performance in a World Series championship. . Hernandez also holds the distinction of having been the last MLB pitcher to throw a perfect game (2012). Sabathia has largely been a disappointment since signing a nine-figure extension with the team, and he likely wont be retained when his contract expires after this season. Strasburgs 2.86 FIP suggests hes outperformed his 3.18 ERA, and his strikeout rate has been stellar. 132-72, 3.34 ERA, 2,005 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. (approx 1 - 2 per week). He was hit hard four balls hit off him registered exit velocities higher than 104 mph, including a 112.1 mph solo moonshot of a homer off the bat of Jos Abreu. JAWS and peak (WAR7) gains are the major drivers of this, but positional standards, traditional milestones, and ordinal rankings are considerations as well. Theres a good chance no pitcher will again crack the 300-win plateau, a mark that has been achieved 24 times throughout the sports history. But theres a rhythm to the ritual. He made his 55 million dollar fortune with All-Star, St. Louis Cardinals, NL wins leader. He just turned 30 on August 7, and hes already fifth in JAWS and third in peak among center fielders, but this has been largely a lost year due to a right calf strain thats already required the longest recovery time in at least six years. Godspeed, Waino. He has put together a solid career, posting a 193-114 record with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.208 WHiP over his 2538.2 innings . The 40-year-old right-hander became the ninth active pitcher with 2,000. When the Washington Nationals took Stephen Strasburg first overall in the 2009 draft, he was one of the most hyped prospects in the games history. This is a question that has been frequently raised throughout the season as the Cardinals' 'Big Three' (Pujols, Wainwright, Molina) were constantly praised by St. Louis fans. Of course, theres no prorating stats when it comes to evaluating Hall of Fame candidates, and so Wainwright appeared to be in the company of the likes of Roy Oswalt Wainwrights most similar pitcher per Baseball-Reference.com Cliff Lee and former teammate Chris Carpenter as pitchers who had terrific peaks but lacked the length for serious Cooperstown consideration. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. Injuries have me dubious that Chris Sale will ever accumulate the WAR necessary to reach the Cooperstown threshold, but hes only barely going to be 33 come Opening Day, so Im not closing the book just yet. (And hes been getting his work in, at least for the most part.) He trailed 5-0 on a pair of home runs by Tyrone Taylor, a grand slam in the first inning and a solo shot in the fourth. St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Adam Wainwright (50) sits in the dugout during the second inning of a baseball game between the Cardinals and the Pirates on Thursday, April, 7, 2022, at. But the guys that have got in recently just have been the best at the craft for a decade, Wainwright said. May need surgery, but were not close to making any kind of decision on that. For relievers, Im using the WAR-and-WPA hybrid stat via which Ive examined recent candidates such as Mariano Rivera, Trevor Hoffman, and Billy Wagner. To be clear, Adam Wainwright will certainly make it onto the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, and based on the ease with which even seemingly fringe candidates are able to garner them, will probably get some votes. Im not sure its a good idea for Wainwright to proceed with his WBC plans, but the Cardinals wont stop him from going. Guerrero is on the Dominican Republic roster for this months World Baseball Classic. He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. His 2.2 WAR, meanwhile, edged him closer to the career standard (73.3). St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright may have ended a solid career. How much more does Wainwright need to do to make the Hall of Fame in your eyes? Sometimes a little spring-training soreness is nothing more than a little spring-training soreness. Let's take a look at Flaherty. But is it a Hall of Fame caliber career? But is 40-year-old Adam Wainwright starting for the visiting Cardinals against the Dodgers in the winner-take-all tilt also on his way to joining Scherzer in the Hall of Fame? Look at that. 82-53, 2.99 ERA, 1,380 strikeouts, 138 adjusted ERA. What's the Dodgers' plan at shortstop? On Wednesday, I took a swing at a question often asked of me: Which players have helped their Hall of Fame cases the most this year? Injuries have plagued Adam Wainwright more than the other pitchers on this list; hes going to be 36 in a few months and hes logged just 1,800 innings due to Tommy John surgery (2011) and an Achilles tendon rupture (2015). Follow Cody Swartz on Twitter (@cbswartz5). He threw two no-hitters in the same season and tied the major league record with 20 strikeouts in a nine-inning game. Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer just had seasons that good in 2018. After the divorce, his mother, Nancy, became a real estate agent and raised the boys on her own. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright's Hall of Fame chances could be dampened by circumstances out of his control. We've sent an email with instructions to create a new password. Heres hoping this isnt the start of a Ken Griffey Jr.-like slog through the second half of his career. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. Velocity? It hasnt moved him very far in the JAWS rankings, but hes nonetheless seventh among active pitchers behind Greinke, the injured Justin Verlander (60.8), Kershaw, Scherzer, and two other pitchers whove effectively taken zeroes in 2020 and 21, Cole Hamels (48.4) and Flix Hernndez (44.3). Even so, five catchers including the younger and still-productive Buster Posey outrank him in the framing-inclusive version of my metric, and with an 80 wRC+ and 0.7 fWAR this year, plus plans to retire after 2022, he might not even catch Russell Martin (49.1) or Joe Mauer (49.3) in the rankings. His sinker averaged 84.9 mph, a 3.7 percent decrease from 2022. But over the last three seasons, Jack has pitched only 154 innings. Focusing on what hes better at: Scherzer is just 19 strikeouts away from 3,000 and should reach the milestone this month, surpassing the likes of Juan Marichal, Roy Halladay, and Bob Feller on the JAWS leaderboard. Here's how WBC offenses stack up with MLB's best, Scherzer tries to test pitch clock limits, gets balk, Jays 'playing it safe' after Guerrero tweaks knee, PitchCom-tipping: Loud device leaks Twins calls, Eflin's first start after $40M deal impresses Rays, Rangers' Leclerc to miss WBC with neck injury, Rockies' Rodgers may need surgery, '23 at risk, Rojas to withdraw from WBC, stay with Dodgers. Adam's parents had a rocky marriage, and they split up when he was around seven years old. He was merely a good pitcher on the Detroit Tigers, vastly overshadowed by teammate Justin Verlander. His draft stock suggests he has the ability to be a top-tier pitcher, but as of now, hes not on a Cooperstown track. Ad Choices Cardinals' Wainwright reaches 2,000 career K's. But what is particularly interesting to examine with regards to Wainwright is that if Wainwright were elected, he would not even be close to the worst starting pitcher in Cooperstown. While Drew was a fine player throughout his career, he would only spend the 2004 season with the Braves. After slaying the October beast that had haunted him for so many years, Kershaw pitched reasonably well through the first three months of the season, posting a 3.39 ERA and 2.98 FIP the latter his lowest mark since 2016 in 106.1 innings. Reports on Wednesday, October 26th, say that Wainwright will return to the Cardinals for his 19th MLB season with the club, as he continues to chase his 200th career win. At least hes in better shape than 31-year-old Freddie Freeman (41.8/32.1/37.0, +1.5 JAWS), who only recently surpassed last years 3.3 WAR. While these numbers are impressive, they may not be enough to convince voters that Adam Wainwright is a Hall of Famer. 4th stage: The latest MRI showed something that was a little off, and we think its smart to do more tests and let him go get a second opinion. Information from The Associated Press was used in this report. Perhaps (I would argue this is more likely) a new narrative arc would emergeWainwright, say, grits through physical pain to guide the Cardinals to the 2022 World Series and enters a level of folklore which allows voters to look optimistically upon his borderline statistical case (see: Ortiz, David). Adam Wainwright Stats. That may be what landed him on the disabled list with shoulder inflammation this year. Fantasy baseball: Which prospects have fantasy value in 2023? Will the games most enigmatic Hall of Fame candidate, a pending free agent this winter, stick around to get it? Sales unconventional windup seems to leave open the idea of Tommy John surgery or at least a serious injury, but he has averaged 30 starts per season since entering the rotation in 12. He went 119-66 with a 2.96 ERA from 2007-15, a span in which only Kershaw had a lower ERA among pitchers with at least 1,000 innings pitched. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright joins Scott Braun, Erik Kratz, Todd Frazier, and AJ Pierzynski to talk about his final season and the legacy he's left behind. Its a shame because he was off to a great start to his season, with 1.9 WAR and a 195 OPS+ in just 36 games. Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. Alas, just before the All-Star break, the 33-year-old southpaw landed on the injured list due to inflammation in his left forearm and hasnt even gotten to the point of a rehab stint yet after suffering a setback in late July. Adam Wainwright's age is 41. In his final inning, Wainwright didnt touch higher than 85 mph. The three Cy Young Awards should be enough to get him into the Hall of Fame. Leg and glute stiffness that limited his leg drive, the aftereffect of recent back spasms, and a torn finger blister. MILWAUKEE -- Adam Wainwright joined Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Uras in the fourth inning Thursday. One other thing to note: since my reference point for old WAR and JAWS figures dates back to January 2021, some portion of these players gains may be due to updates to bWAR itself, particularly via changes to 19 and 20 park factors and tweaks to 201720 Defensive Runs Saved that were announced in March, but also due to a second update to 2020 park factors that just went live on Tuesday. Covering the latest and most controversial news around the world of sports, heavily centered on the Philadelphia Eagles and National Football League. Sales efficiency numbers are superb he has a 2.99 career ERA, a 1.054 WHIP, a 4.96 K:BB ratio, and hes working on five straight All-Star trips. Adam Wainwrights hybrid JAWS of 41.6 is a fair amount behind that of Dwight Gooden, and closing a 6.4 point gap is going to be a tall order. What a different story we could be telling about 'Waino' had he stayed in Atlanta. After doing some [strength] assessments, its something he can solve. "Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires." - Connor Looker Throughout his career, Wainwright has won a World Series and has been selected to. By checking this box, I agree to the terms of service and privacy policy of Rogers Media. Given the way hes been pitching as of late, thats certainly not farfetched. The baseball player is married to Jenny Curry, his starsign is Virgo and he is now 41 years of age. Adam Wainwright, is probably not a Hall of Famer and his 36.7 JAWS likely shouldn't be used as the new . But at least it wont be historically egregious. He posted a 195-117 record with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.216 WHiP, striking out 2147 batters with 695 walks in his 2567.1 innings. Its my belief that this as-yet-unnamed metric which Im hoping to formalize in time for the upcoming election cycle does a better job of emphasizing closers rather than starters-turned-relievers who racked up significant WAR in the rotations before making the move to roles more fireman-like than closer-like; it bumps the likes of Tom Gordon, Ellis Kinder, Bobby Shantz, and Kerry Wood down several pegs. On Saturday, June 11, 25,000 fans, ages 16 and older, will take home one of their replica . Is Adam Wainwright in the Hall of Fame? The just-turned-40-year-old is currently in the midst of a late-career renaissance (2.97 ERA, 3.1 WAR), leaving many to wonder. But Wainwright proved his solid 2020 wasnt a brief mirage. More From This Game. A Hall of Fame-bound pitcher is slated to take the mound in the top of the first inning of tonights NL wild card game. Carlos Correa, Shortstop(32.7 Career WAR | 32.7 7-Year Peak WAR | 32.7 JAWS, +6.7 JAWS) Between some favorable changes to his DRS totals and an AL-leading 5.9 WAR (surpassed by Ohtani's two-way total of 7.7), the 26-year-old Correa has boosted his JAWS more than any position player. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. Wainwright attributed the late 2022 freefall to a hitch in his delivery after hed been struck on the knee by a batted ball. Hes actually been tougher to hit than in any season since 2016, but his 14% walk rate has created more traffic than ever, and hes blown five of 35 save chances, though three of those were in consecutive outings in mid-July, accounting for seven of the 16 earned runs hes allowed. Adam Wainwright, however, is a little bit trickier. . No Gavin Lux -- big problem. Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. 2nd stage: Everything is still on track. Terms of Service. He missed large chunks of his playing career due to injuries, and while this has not always been a deal-breaker for Cooperstown, Wainwrights perfectly fine peak was hardly that of go-to example Sandy Koufax. In the spirit of giving my readers what they want, heres a lightning round, where Ill keep things uncharacteristically brief. He had one brother, Trey, who was seven years his senior. Still, just one top-10 Cy Young award finish wont get him in the Hall of Fame. Although Gooden was one-and-done when he reached the ballot in 2006, his extraordinary peak meant he probably deserved more of a look. He, of course, can retract this, but as he is now in his 40s, Im inclined to believe hes serious. His 2011 season, in which he went 24-5 with a 2.40 ERA and led the league in a slew of categories wins, ERA, games started, innings pitched, strikeouts, WHIP, adjusted ERA, and hits allowed per nine innings earned him a distinction that hadnt been accomplished since Roger Clemens in 1986. Guerrero was seen walking toward the clubhouse with an athletic trainer in the second inning and was replaced defensively by Rainer Nunez to start the third. What injury? Scherzer and Hernandez are among a group of pitchers at somewhat similar points in their potential Hall of Fame paths; Verlander, Cole Hamels, Zack Greinke, Adam Wainwright and Jon Lester are in . I took a look at 10 active starting pitchers with borderline Hall of Fame resumes and broke down their odds of enshrinement. All Wins Above Replacement and Wins Above Average data comes . Paul Goldschmidt, first base (49.1 career | 40.6 Peak | 44.9 JAWS, +2.2 JAWS). But in evaluating Wainwright by the standards of the modern starting pitchers, he has a path albeit a narrow one that requires him to sustain his late-30s rebirth for at least one and possibly two more seasons that seemed impossible when he was in the midst of an extended sunset phase late in the 2010s. 100-70, 2.99 ERA, 1,409 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. Adam Wainwright will return for his 19th season with the. March 2, 2023 | 00:00:10. Write some stories about it! Wainwright said. Hes produced 5.0 WAR with his pitching but -0.6 WAR with his hitting with a remarkable .000/.000/.000 line taking this no-hitter thing a bit too literally through 50 PA; on Wednesday night, he surpassed Wei-Yin Chens record for season-opening futility, set in 2016. No Cy's (albeit 4 top 3 finishes). I try to stay out of it as much as possible.. Saturday marked the end of an era for the St. Louis Cardinals. Actually, it's two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. Upon losing in the Wild Card round, the franchise's attention shifted to the offseason and what will happen to some of their aging players. The Hall of Stats was built by Adam Darowski, Jeffrey Chupp, and Michael Berkowitz.Follow the Hall of Stats on Twitter or Facebook.The Hall of Stats is open sourced on GitHub.All data is also open and available as a free download. Despite dealing with shoulder soreness and some rough stretches, Greinke the active leader in JAWS has pitched an AL-high 159.2 innings, though he will probably get overtaken after landing on the COVID-19 IL on Tuesday. Enter your email below and we'll send you another email. He was the first pitcher aged 39 or older since Mike Mussina in 2008 to throw at least 200 innings with an ERA+ of 125 or better. If hes still got the stuff and durability to get to 3,000, the rest of the numbers might fall into place. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onSt. Louis Cardinals and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. With 273 homers, Goldschmidt could reach 300 by the end of next season, though with 1,539 hits, the 2,000 milestone and real clarity on his fate is probably three seasons away. Since then, hes made the All-Star team every year, led the league in wins on three occasions, and won a Cy Young award in each league. While wins arent everything, Ive chosen to list them chronologically by career win total as a benchmark of evaluation. Throughout his career, Wainwright has won a World Series and has been selected to the All-Star game three times.